fix(analyze): censor a clean run at the steps it ran, and refuse mismatched budgets

A run stops at whichever comes first, the step budget or --duration, so
a clean run that reached the wall clock exited with fewer steps than the
budget and was still credited with the whole of it. The model arm pays a
network call and a screenshot per step, so it reaches the wall sooner and
was handed exposure it never had.

Nothing checked that two arms shared a budget either. Thirty identical
clean runs under budgets of 400 and 100 read a12 0.000 and p 1.685e-14
from the rank-sum while the log-rank in the same report read p 1.0000.
groupArms already refused this within one arm.

The claims the old convention left in comments and report lines are
corrected rather than left standing beside the new behaviour.
This commit is contained in:
pj committed 2026-08-18 14:11:28 +05:30
1 parent ff6c66a74b
commit 1da0c3e118
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+141 -41

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@@ -174,7 +174,7 @@ type pairedComparison struct {
}
// pairArms matches the two arms by seed and contrasts them pair by pair.
// Censored runs enter at the step budget, the same convention the unpaired
// Censored runs enter at the steps they ran, the same convention the unpaired
// comparison uses. A seed usable in one arm and not the other is named rather
// than dropped silently, because that is a host that lost a run and it is what
// the campaign manifest exists to make visible.